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NEWS and REPORTS => World News => Topic started by: HuffingtonPost on Feb 16, 2013, 09:30 PM

Title: G20: 'We Refuse To Enter Any Currency War'
Post by: HuffingtonPost on Feb 16, 2013, 09:30 PM


* Underlines need to restore growth over cutting debts                

* Japan escapes criticism over currency policy                

* Communique hardened up, closer to G7 FX statement                

* China concerned by 'spillover' from loose policies                

By Randall Palmer and Lidia Kelly                

MOSCOW, Feb 16 (Reuters) - The Group of 20 nations declared  on Saturday there would be no currency war and deferred plans to  set new debt-cutting targets, underlining broad concern about  the fragile state of the world economy.                

Japan's expansive policies, which have driven down the yen,  escaped direct criticism in a statement thrashed out in Moscow  by policymakers from the G20, which spans developed and emerging  markets and accounts for 90 percent of the world economy.                

Analysts said the yen, which has dropped 20 percent as a  result of aggressive monetary and fiscal policies to reflate the  Japanese economy, may now continue to fall.                

"The market will take the G20 statement as an approval for  what it has been doing -- selling of the yen," said Neil Mellor,  currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon in London. "No  censure of Japan means they will be off to the money printing  presses."                

After late-night talks, finance ministers and central  bankers agreed on wording closer than expected to a joint  statement issued last Tuesday by the Group of Seven rich nations  backing market-determined exchange rates.                

A draft communique on Friday had steered clear of the G7's  call for economic policy not to be targeted at exchange rates.  But the final version included a G20 commitment to refrain from  competitive devaluations and stated monetary policy would be  directed only at price stability and growth.                

"The mood quite clearly early on was that we needed  desperately to avoid protectionist measures ... that mood  permeated quite quickly," Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty  told reporters, adding that the wording of the G20 statement had  been hardened up by the ministers.                

As a result, it reflected a substantial, but not complete,  endorsement of Tuesday's proclamation by the G7 nations - the  United States, Japan, Britain, Canada, France, Germany and  Italy.                

As with the G7 intervention, Tokyo said it gave it a green  light to pursue its policies unchecked.                

"I have explained that (Prime Minister Shinzo) Abe's  administration is doing its utmost to escape from deflation and  we have gained a certain understanding," Finance Minister Taro  Aso told reporters.                

"We're confident that if Japan revives its own economy that  would certainly affect the world economy as well. We gained  understanding on this point."                

Flaherty admitted it would be difficult to gauge if domestic  policies were aimed at weakening currencies or not.                                                                

NO FISCAL TARGETS                

The G20 also made a commitment to a credible medium-term  fiscal strategy, but stopped short of setting specific goals as  most delegations felt any economic recovery was too fragile.                

The communique said risks to the world economy had receded  but growth remained too weak and unemployment too high.                

"A sustained effort is required to continue building a  stronger economic and monetary union in the euro area and to  resolve uncertainties related to the fiscal situation in the  United States and Japan, as well as to boost domestic sources of  growth in surplus economies," it said.                

A debt-cutting pact struck in Toronto in 2010 will expire  this year if leaders fail to agree to extend it at a G20 summit  of leaders in St Petersburg in September.                

The United States says it is on track to meet its Toronto  pledge but argues that the pace of future fiscal consolidation  must not snuff out demand. Germany and others are pressing for  another round of binding debt targets.                

"We had a broad consensus in the G20 that we will stick to  the commitment to fulfill the Toronto goals," German Finance  Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said. "We do not have any interest  in U.S.-bashing ... In St. Petersburg follow-up-goals will be  decided."                

The G20 put together a huge financial backstop to halt a  market meltdown in 2009 but has failed to reach those heights  since. At successive meetings, Germany has pressed the United  States and others to do more to tackle their debts. Washington  in turn has urged Berlin to do more to increase demand.                

Backing in the communique for the use of domestic monetary  policy to support economic recovery reflected the U.S. Federal  Reserve's commitment to monetary stimulus through quantitative  easing, or QE, to promote recovery and jobs.                

QE entails large-scale bond buying -- $85 billion a month in  the Fed's case -- that helps economic growth but has also  unleashed destabilising capital flows into emerging markets.                

A commitment to minimise such "negative spillovers" was an  offsetting point in the text that China, fearful of asset  bubbles and lost export competitiveness, highlighted.                

"Major developed nations (should) pay attention to their  monetary policy spillover," Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao  was quoted by state news agency Xinhua as saying in Moscow.                

Russia, this year's chair of the G20, admitted the group had  failed to reach agreement on medium-term budget deficit levels  and expressed concern about ultra-loose policies that it and  other emerging economies say could store up trouble for later.                

On currencies, the G20 text reiterated its commitment last  November, "to move more rapidly toward mores market-determined  exchange rate systems and exchange rate flexibility to reflect  underlying fundamentals, and avoid persistent exchange rate  misalignments".                

It said disorderly exchange rate movements and excess  volatility in financial flows could harm economic and financial  stability.

Via: HuffingtonPost