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NEWS and REPORTS => World News => Topic started by: NBCNews on Feb 22, 2013, 05:31 AM

Title: Al-Qaida's 22 tips on how to avoid drones
Post by: NBCNews on Feb 22, 2013, 05:31 AM
  (http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/j/ap/mali%20the%20al%20qaida%20papers%20drones--460573788_v2.photoblog600.jpg) (http://worldnews.nbcnews.com/undefined)Rukmini Callimachi / APIn this Wednesday, Feb. 20, 2013 photo, a young vendor waits for clients alongside woven reed mats of the type purchased by fleeing Islamists, apparently to camouflage their vehicles, in Timbuktu, Mali. An instruction on camouflaging cars is one of 22 tips on how to avoid drones, listed on a document left behind by the Islamic extremists as they fled northern Mali from a French military intervention in January.By Rukmini Callimachi, The Associated PressOne of the last things the bearded fighters did before leaving this city  was to drive to the market where traders lay their carpets out in the  sand.

The al-Qaida extremists bypassed the brightly colored,  high-end synthetic floor coverings and stopped their pickup truck in  front of a man selling more modest mats woven from desert grass, priced  at $1.40 apiece. There they bought two bales of 25 mats each, and asked  him to bundle them on top of the car, along with a stack of sticks.

"It's  the first time someone has bought such a large amount," said the mat  seller, Leitny Cisse al-Djoumat. "They didn't explain why they wanted so  many."

Military officials can tell why: The fighters are  stretching the mats across the tops of their cars on poles to form  natural carports, so that drones cannot detect them from the air.

The  instruction to camouflage cars is one of 22 tips on how to avoid  drones, listed on a document left behind by the Islamic extremists as  they fled northern Mali from a French military intervention last month. A  Xeroxed copy of the document, which was first published on a jihadist  forum two years ago, was found by The Associated Press in a manila  envelope on the floor of a building here occupied by al-Qaida of the  Islamic Maghreb.

Follow @NBCNewsWorld (https://twitter.com/NBCNewsWorld)The tipsheet reflects how al-Qaida's chapter in  North Africa anticipated a military intervention that would make use of  drones, as the battleground in the war on terror worldwide is shifting  from boots on the ground to unmanned planes in the air. The presence of  the document in Mali, first authored by a Yemeni, also shows the  coordination between al-Qaida chapters, which security experts have  called a source of increasing concern.

"This new document...  shows we are no longer dealing with an isolated local problem, but with  an enemy which is reaching across continents to share advice," said  Bruce Riedel, a 30-year veteran of the CIA, now the director of the  Intelligence Project at the Brookings Institution.

Tips and tricks

The tips in  the document range from the broad (No. 7, hide from being directly or  indirectly spotted, especially at night) to the specific (No 18,  formation of fake gatherings, for example by using dolls and statues  placed outside false ditches to mislead the enemy.)  The use of the mats  appears to be a West African twist on No. 3, which advises camouflaging  the tops of cars and the roofs of buildings, possibly by spreading  reflective glass.

While some of the tips are outdated or  far-fetched, taken together, they suggest the Islamists in Mali are  responding to the threat of drones with sound, common-sense advice that  may help them to melt into the desert in between attacks, leaving barely  a trace.

"These are not dumb techniques. It shows that they are  acting pretty astutely," said Col. Cedric Leighton, a 26-year-veteran  of the United States Air Force, who helped set up the Predator drone  program, which later tracked Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan. "What it  does is, it buys them a little bit more time — and in this conflict,  time is key. And they will use it to move away from an area, from a  bombing raid, and do it very quickly."

The success of some of  the tips will depend on the circumstances and the model of drones used,  Leighton said. For example, from the air, where perceptions of depth  become obfuscated, an imagery sensor would interpret a mat stretched  over the top of a car as one lying on the ground, concealing the  vehicle. (http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/j/ap/mali%20the%20al%20qaida%20papers%20drones--62067540_v2.380;380;7;70;0.jpg)Str / APIn this Aug. 31, 2012 file photo, fighters from the al-Qaida-linked Islamist group Ansar Dine stand guard in Timbuktu, Mali, as they prepare to publicly lash a member of the Islamic Police found guilty of adultery. New models of drones, such as the Harfung used by the  French or the MQ-9 "Reaper," sometimes have infrared sensors that can  pick up the heat signature of a car whose engine has just been shut off.  However, even an infrared sensor would have trouble detecting a car  left under a mat tent overnight, so that its temperature is the same as  on the surrounding ground, Leighton said.

Unarmed drones are  already being used by the French in Mali to collect intelligence on  al-Qaida groups, and U.S. officials have said plans are underway to  establish a new drone base in northwestern Africa. The U.S. recently  signed a "status of forces agreement" with Niger, one of the nations  bordering Mali, suggesting the drone base may be situated there and  would be primarily used to gather intelligence to help the French.

The  author of the tipsheet found in Timbuktu is Abdallah bin Muhammad, the  nom de guerre for a senior commander of al-Qaida in the Arabian  Peninsula, the Yemen-based branch of the terror network. The document  was first published in Arabic on an extremist website on June 2, 2011, a  month after bin Laden's death, according to Mathieu Guidere, a  professor at the University of Toulouse. Guidere runs a database of  statements by extremist groups, including al-Qaida in the Islamic  Maghreb, and he reviewed and authenticated the document found by the AP.  

The tipsheet is still little known, if at all, in English,  though it has been republished at least three times in Arabic on other  jihadist forums after drone strikes took out U.S.-born cleric Anwar  al-Awlaki in Yemen in September 2011 and al-Qaida second-in-command Abu  Yahya al-Libi in Pakistan in June 2012. It was most recently issued two  weeks ago on another extremist website after plans for the possible U.S.  drone base in Niger began surfacing, Guidere said.

"This  document supports the fact that they knew there are secret U.S. bases  for drones, and were preparing themselves," he said. "They were thinking  about this issue for a long time."

Planting trees 'helps'

The idea of hiding under  trees to avoid drones, which is tip No. 10, appears to be coming from  the highest levels of the terror network. In a letter written by bin  Laden and first published by the U.S. Center for Combating Terrorism,  the terror mastermind instructs his followers to deliver a message to  Abdelmalek Droukdel, the head of al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb, whose  fighters have been active in Mali for at least a decade.

"I want  the brothers in the Islamic Maghreb to know that planting trees helps  the mujahedeen and gives them cover," bin Laden writes in the missive.  "Trees will give the mujahedeen the freedom to move around especially if  the enemy sends spying aircrafts to the area."

Hiding under  trees is exactly what the al-Qaida fighters did in Mali, according to  residents in Diabaly, the last town they took before the French stemmed  their advance last month. Just after French warplanes incinerated rebel  cars that had been left outside, the fighters began to commandeer houses  with large mango trees and park their four-by-fours in the shade of  their rubbery leaves.

Hamidou Sissouma, a schoolteacher, said  the Islamists chose his house because of its generous trees, and rammed  their trucks through his earthen wall to drive right into his courtyard.  Another resident showed the gash the occupiers had made in his mango  tree by parking their pickup too close to the trunk.

In Timbuktu  also, fighters hid their cars under trees, and disembarked from them in  a hurry when they were being chased, in accordance with tip No. 13.

Moustapha  al-Housseini, an appliance repairman, was outside his shop fixing a  client's broken radio on the day the aerial bombardments began. He said  he heard the sound of the planes and saw the Islamists at almost the  same moment. Abou Zeid, the senior al-Qaida emir in the region, rushed  to jam his car under a pair of tamarind trees outside the store.

"He  and his men got out of the car and dove under the awning," said  al-Housseini. "As for what I did? Me and my employees? We also ran. As  fast as we could."

Along with the grass mats, the al-Qaida men in Mali made creative use of another natural resource to hide their cars: Mud.

Asse  Ag Imahalit, a gardener at a building in Timbuktu, said he was at first  puzzled to see that the fighters sleeping inside the compound sent for  large bags of sugar every day. Then, he said, he observed them mixing  the sugar with dirt, adding water and using the sticky mixture to  "paint" their cars. Residents said the cars of the al-Qaida fighters are  permanently covered in mud.

The drone tipsheet, discovered in  the regional tax department occupied by Abou Zeid, shows how familiar  al-Qaida has become with drone attacks, which have allowed the U.S. to  take out senior leaders in the terrorist group without a messy ground  battle. The preface and epilogue of the tipsheet make it clear that  al-Qaida well realizes the advantages of drones: They are relatively  cheap in terms of money and lives, alleviating "the pressure of American  public opinion."

Ironically, the first drone attack on an  al-Qaida figure in 2002 took out the head of the branch in Yemen — the  same branch that authored the document found in Mali, according to  Riedel. Drones began to be used in Iraq in 2006 and in Pakistan in 2007,  but it wasn't until 2009 that they became a hallmark of the war on  terror, he said.

"Since we do not want to put boots on the  ground in places like Mali, they are certain to be the way of the  future," he said. "They are already the future."