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NEWS and REPORTS => World News => Topic started by: HuffingtonPost on Apr 08, 2013, 07:30 AM

Title: IMF Chief's Dire Warning For Struggling Economies
Post by: HuffingtonPost on Apr 08, 2013, 07:30 AM
               

By Koh Gui Qing                

BOAO, China, April 7 (Reuters) - The head of the  International Monetary Fund hailed Japan's unprecedented  monetary policy boost this week as a welcome support for a world  economy that she said has improved from a year ago.                

Christine Lagarde said on Sunday the radical $1.4 trillion  stimulus from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would help strengthen the  advanced economies, saying growth in countries such as the  United States was gaining speed.                

But without referring specifically to Japan, Lagarde warned  policymakers against thinking that super-loose monetary policy  alone could do the heavy lifting in reviving economies, when  growth may instead be stifled by unhealthy private and public  finances.                

"Monetary policies, including unconventional measures, have  helped prop up the advanced economies, and in turn, global  growth," Christine Lagarde told a forum in south China.                

"The reforms just announced by the Bank of Japan are another  welcome step in this direction," she said. "There is, however, a  limit to how effectively monetary policy can continue to  shoulder the lion's share of this effort."                

Central banks still need to heed broken balance sheets that  impede lending and plan for and guard against uncertainties  arising from any policy change, the IMF chief said.                

Japan stunned investors on Thursday by unleashing the  world's most intense burst of monetary stimulus, which will pump  $1.4 trillion into its economy in under two years. It hopes the  shock therapy will end two decades of stagnation.                

But the move is a huge gamble. It heavily exposes the BoJ to  Japan's mountain of public debt and carries the potential for  big losses if inflation spikes and investors lose faith in its  viability.                

Japan's government debt, at twice the size of its $5  trillion economy, is proportionally the highest among developed  nations.                

Lagarde said fiscal problems in developed nations such as  Japan and the United States marred the global economic recovery  and contrasted with emerging economies, where a broadening  rebound is brightening the outlook.                                

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Lagarde said the IMF expected Asian economies to grow by  nearly 6 percent this year, "an enviable performance by any  measure", as resilient domestic demand and accommodative  policies power the region.                

She said the impressive growth rate is customary for Asia,  which has accounted for two-thirds of global growth in the last  five years since the financial crisis struck.                

Asia's buoyancy has rubbed off on the rest of the world.                

"A substantial portion of the global economy looks better  today than it did last year," Lagarde said. "And we are  beginning to see momentum pick up in the United States."                

In the euro zone, however, she said debt problems are  weighing on growth and dragging out a recession.                

Lagarde said the main task for the currency zone right now  is to push for a banking union, a plan that is meant to put an  end to the euro zone's debt troubles by severing the link  between sovereign borrowers and banks.                

Last month, however, Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen  Dijsselbloem said European aid for troubled banks is a last  resort, which raised doubts about the plan for a banking union.                

Dijsselbloem made the comments after a rescue programme was  agreed for Cyprus that imposed steep losses on depositors,  leading to suggestions that the Cypriot deal could serve as a  precedent for future bank bailouts in the bloc.                

Lagarde said Cyprus was not a model for the rest but that  the pecking order for investors to absorb losses including  depositors must be respected.                

"When a financial institution goes under, a resolution  process has to take place that will constantly be shouldered by  taxpayers, either in the country or in the region or in the  world," she said.

Via: HuffingtonPost