- The Logistics Real Estate Market on the Chinese Mainland Shows Signs of Stabilization Amid Ongoing Consumer and Industrial Demand
The research reveals that globally, the proportion of tenant-favourable markets is expected to fall sharply from 52% today to just 28% by 2028. This change is being driven by constrained supply, robust demand, and rising costs across key inputs such as rent, labour, construction materials, and electricity. At the same time, landlord-favourable markets are forecast to rise from 24% to 35%, signalling a more competitive leasing environment in the years ahead for occupiers.
In Asia Pacific (APAC), fundamentals remain strong but market conditions are becoming more nuanced. The region currently offers more balanced conditions, with 24% favouring landlords and 33% favouring tenants. Over the next three years, markets in the region are expected to move away from a balanced, neutral position toward more polarising tenant- and landlord-favourable market conditions. Neutral markets are expected to decline to 29% from the current 42%, while tenant-friendly markets are anticipated to grow to 38% from 33%. Similarly, landlord-favourable markets are expected to rise to 33%, up from 24%.
Dr. Dominic Brown, Head of International Research at Cushman & Wakefield said, “Asia Pacific markets are diverging, with Australia and Southeast Asia seeing a shift towards landlord-favourable conditions, while other parts of the region face rising vacancies and tenant-friendly dynamics. Nevertheless, 62% of APAC markets still expect rental growth in the next three years, driven by robust occupier demand, strategic manufacturing shifts and the region’s cost competitiveness in labour and energy.”
In terms of labour costs, APAC remains highly competitive, with countries like India, Vietnam, Philippines, and Indonesia having significantly lower wages. China has moved toward higher value-added manufacturing, with wages around 50% of the global average.
Another highlight of the report is that general manufacturing, retail distribution and e-commerce distribution are the top three key drivers of demand for logistics and industrial space in Asia Pacific. This is very much aligned to what is being seen across the world. High-tech and automotive manufacturing have also been identified as drivers of occupier demand in APAC over the next three years.
Dennis Yeo, Head of Investor Services and Logistics & Industrial, APAC, Cushman & Wakefield said: “Asia Pacific continues to demonstrate resilience, with markets such as India and Vietnam seeing sustained occupier demand. However, rising vacancy in some subregions, driven by a surge in new supply means that a one-size-fits-all approach no longer works. Businesses must adopt granular, market-specific strategies that account for local cost structures, infrastructure readiness, and automation potential.”
The logistics market on the Chinese mainland continued its path to stabilization and recovery in 2024, underpinned by favourable structural drivers. Key catalysts include the emergence of industrial clustering, the acceleration of new logistics productivity, and a more balanced supply-demand environment, all of which are reinforcing the market’s long-term fundamentals.
In the consumer segment, the rapid rise of new e-commerce formats — notably live-streaming commerce and instant retail — has been instrumental in driving online consumption. Combined with the effective rollout of consumer goods trade-in policies, these trends have led to sustained growth in online retail sales of physical goods, bolstering demand for high-quality logistics infrastructure.
On the industrial front, strong logistics demand for industrial goods has been observed, supported by continued manufacturing activity and supply chain modernization. This dual-sector momentum — consumer and industrial — is injecting fresh vitality into the premium logistics warehouse market, reinforcing its status as a core asset class in the evolving logistics ecosystem on the Chinese mainland.
Tony Su, Managing Director, Head of Industrial & Logistics Property Services, China, Cushman & Wakefield said: “The transformation and upgrading of key industries are fueling renewed demand for warehouse space. This resurgence in leasing activity is expected to absorb incoming supply efficiently, supporting steady growth in both occupancy levels and rental rates—particularly within the premium logistics warehouse segment. These dynamics position the sector for healthier and more sustainable long-term development.”
The report concludes that resilience and diversity in supply chains will be essential for navigating both short- and long-term market shocks. Businesses that act decisively and strategically will be best placed to thrive in this evolving industrial landscape.
The full report, including regional breakdowns of rental levels, market conditions and vacancy projections, energy and labour cost comparisons, and analysis of demand drivers such as e-commerce and manufacturing, is available at Waypoint 2025.
Note
to
Editors
‘Waypoint
2025’
is
Cushman
&
Wakefield’s
inaugural
global
logistics
&
industrial
research
report
which
includes
results
from
a
survey
of
Cushman
&
Wakefield
logistics
and
industrial
market-facing
colleagues
for
127
markets
worldwide.
The
survey
was
conducted
from
7-18th
April
2025,
after
the
Trump
Administration
announced
the
suspension
of
most
higher
tariff
rates
for
90
days,
while
maintaining
the
10%
levy
on
nearly
all
global
imports.
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