2024: A Record-Breaking Year for Gold
Gold first emerged as a focal point for investors in 2024, reaching unprecedented heights of $2,790 per ounce during the U.S. presidential election period. Unsurprisingly, this all-time high was propelled by market volatility and escalating geopolitical tensions. While gold prices retraced by over $200 following the election, prices stabilised above $2,600 per ounce, closing the year with a noteworthy 27% annual gain.
VT Markets highlighted this as a testament to gold’s resilience and its pivotal role in hedging against uncertainty.Key Catalysts for Gold’s Stellar Performance
The VT Markets’ research desk attributes gold’s extraordinary performance to three primary factors:
Central Bank De-Dollarisation
Gold demand surged as BRICS nations, including China and Russia, advanced de-dollarisation initiatives. Gold reserves within these economies climbed from 4,360 metric tons in 2018 to nearly 5,550 metric tons by 2024. Emerging markets, such as Turkey, Poland, and India, also contributed significantly to central bank gold purchases—a trend forecasted to continue into 2025 with expected demand exceeding 500 tons.
Geopolitical Instability Elevating Safe-Haven Demand
The irreversible trend of de-globalisation has heightened geopolitical risks, which in turn has further cementing gold’s allure. For one, the re-election of Donald Trump as U.S. President and his unilateral policy approaches are likely to perpetuate uncertainty this year. While short-term peace initiatives, such as potential Russo-Ukrainian negotiations, may temporarily temper gold prices, VT Markets foresees sustained demand due to the prolonged nature of geopolitical conflicts.
The
Federal
Reserve’s
Monetary
Policy
Shift
The
Federal
Reserve’s
pivot
to
rate
cuts
in
September
2024
also
sparked
renewed
interest
in
gold.
Historical
trends
indicate
that
gold
prices
typically
peak
within
two
quarters
of
a
rate
cut
cycle.
VT
Markets
predicts
that
gold
will
retain
upward
momentum
through
early
2025,
though
its
annual
growth
may
taper
as
markets
absorb
the
impact
of
monetary
easing.
Looking Ahead: Stabilisation Amid Uncertainty
While 2024 was undeniably a banner year for gold, VT Markets anticipates a period of consolidation in 2025. The research team projects a high yet steady price trajectory, with reduced volatility compared to the previous year’s highs. Despite this, gold remains a critical asset in diversified investment strategies, particularly in uncertain economic climates.
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